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Índice neutrófilo-linfocito como predictor de mortalidad en pacientes con fascitis necrotizante / Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio as predictor of mortality in patients with necrotizing fasciitis

Octavio Ávila-Mercado, Víctor Flores-Gamboa, José Manuel Reyes-Ruiz, Paola Campos-Hernández, Gustavo Martínez-Mier

Resumen


Introducción: La fascitis necrotizante (FN) puede afectar cualquier tejido blando y piel del cuerpo, su progresión es rápida y es relacionada con un índice de mortalidad alto. Por lo tanto, la búsqueda de biomarcadores de fácil acceso y bajo costo que pudieran predecir el pronóstico de los pacientes con FN es necesaria.

Objetivo: Evaluar el papel del  índice neutrofilo-linfocito (INL) como un predictor de mortalidad en los pacientes con FN.

Material y métodos: estudio observacional, transversal, retrospectivo y analítico de pacientes admitidos entre abril y octubre del 2020 en un hospital de tercer nivel. Las pruebas estadísticas utilizadas para la comparación de las variables entre los grupos de estudio fueron chi-cuadrado, exacta de Fisher, t de Student y U de Mann-Whitney. Una curva característica operativa del receptor (ROC) fue realizada para determinar la precisión del INL en la predicción de mortalidad en pacientes con FN.

Resultados: un total de 25 pacientes fueron incluidos y estratificados en no sobrevivientes y sobrevivientes. El grupo no sobreviviente tuvo un valor elevado del INL en comparación con los sobrevivientes (15.57 [13.75] vs 7.91 [4.13]; p= 0.065). El INL tuvo un área bajo la curva (AUC) de 0.729 (IC 95% 0.516-0.886; p= 0.044), sensibilidad de 77.78% (40-97.2) y especificidad de 75% (47.6-92.7). El punto de corte optimo obtenido para el INL fue >9.21.

Conclusiones: un valor de INL >9.21 podría ser un predictor de mortalidad en los pacientes con FN.

 

Abstract

Background: Necrotizing fasciitis (NF) can affect any soft tissue and skin of the body. Its progression is rapid and it is associated with a high mortality rate. Therefore, the search for easily accessible and low-cost biomarkers that could predict the prognosis of patients with NF is necessary.

Objective: To evaluate the role of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a predictor of mortality in patients with NF.

Material and methods: Observational, cross-sectional, retrospective and analytical study of patients admitted between April and October 2020 in a tertiary-care hospital. The statistical tests used for the comparison of variables between the study groups were chi-square, Fisher's exact, Student's t and Mann-Whitney U. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed to determine the accuracy of NLR in predicting mortality in patients with NF.

Results: A total of 25 patients were included and stratified into non-survivors and survivors. The non-survivor group had an elevated NLR value compared to survivors (15.57 [13.75] vs. 7.91 [4.13]; p = 0.065). The NLR had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.729 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.516-0.886; p = 0.044), sensitivity of 77.78% (40-97.2), and specificity of 75% (47.6-92.7). The optimal cut-off point obtained for NLR was > 9.21.

Conclusions: An NLR value > 9.21 could be a predictor of mortality in patients with NF.


Palabras clave


Fascitis Necrotizante; Mortalidad; Índice Neutrófilo-Linfocito / Fasciitis, Necrotizing; Mortality; Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio

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Referencias


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