Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio as predictor of mortality in patients with necrotizing fasciitis

Authors

  • Octavio Ávila-Mercado <p>Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Centro M&eacute;dico Nacional &ldquo;Lic. Adolfo Ruiz Cortines&rdquo;, Hospital de Especialidades No. 14, Servicio de Cirug&iacute;a General. Veracruz, Veracruz, M&eacute;xico.</p> http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7187-4173
  • Víctor Flores-Gamboa <p>Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Centro M&eacute;dico Nacional &ldquo;Lic. Adolfo Ruiz Cortines&rdquo;, Hospital de Especialidades No. 14, Servicio de Cirug&iacute;a General. Veracruz, Veracruz, M&eacute;xico.</p> http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5318-3021
  • José Manuel Reyes-Ruiz <p>Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Centro M&eacute;dico Nacional &ldquo;Lic. Adolfo Ruiz Cortines&rdquo;, Hospital de Especialidades No. 14, Divisi&oacute;n de Investigaci&oacute;n en Salud. Veracruz, Veracruz, M&eacute;xico.</p> http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2379-8591
  • Paola Campos-Hernández <p>Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Centro M&eacute;dico Nacional &ldquo;Lic. Adolfo Ruiz Cortines&rdquo;, Hospital de Especialidades No. 14, Coordinaci&oacute;n de Donaci&oacute;n y Trasplante de &Oacute;rganos. Veracruz, Veracruz, M&eacute;xico.</p> http://orcid.org/0009-0009-9641-7276
  • Gustavo Martínez-Mier <p>Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Centro M&eacute;dico Nacional &ldquo;Lic. Adolfo Ruiz Cortines&rdquo;, Hospital de Especialidades No. 14, Divisi&oacute;n de Investigaci&oacute;n en Salud. Veracruz, Veracruz, M&eacute;xico.</p> http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2883-9188

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/

Keywords:

Mortality, Necrotizing, Fasciitis

Abstract

Background: Necrotizing fasciitis (NF) can affect any soft tissue and skin of the body. Its progression is rapid and it is associated with a high mortality rate. Therefore, the search for easily accessible and low-cost biomarkers that could predict the prognosis of patients with NF is necessary.

Objective: To evaluate the role of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a predictor of mortality in patients with NF.

Material and methods: Observational, cross-sectional, retrospective and analytical study of patients admitted between April and October 2020 in a tertiary-care hospital. The statistical tests used for the comparison of variables between the study groups were chi-square, Fisher's exact, Student's t and Mann-Whitney U. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed to determine the accuracy of NLR in predicting mortality in patients with NF.

Results: A total of 25 patients were included and stratified into non-survivors and survivors. The non-survivor group had an elevated NLR value compared to survivors (15.57 [13.75] vs. 7.91 [4.13]; p = 0.065). The NLR had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.729 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.516-0.886; p = 0.044), sensitivity of 77.78% (40-97.2), and specificity of 75% (47.6-92.7). The optimal cut-off point obtained for NLR was > 9.21.

Conclusions: An NLR value > 9.21 could be a predictor of mortality in patients with NF.

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Author Biography

  • José Manuel Reyes-Ruiz, <p>Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Centro M&eacute;dico Nacional &ldquo;Lic. Adolfo Ruiz Cortines&rdquo;, Hospital de Especialidades No. 14, Divisi&oacute;n de Investigaci&oacute;n en Salud. Veracruz, Veracruz, M&eacute;xico.</p>

    Investigador de Tiempo Completo en la División de Investigación en Salud de la UMAE H. E. No. 14, Centro Médico Nacional "Adolfo Ruiz Cortines".

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Published

2023-12-21

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Section

Original Articles